Monday, June 11, 2018

Brief Thought on the North Korean summit that managed to happen almost in spite of Donny and Un

As I type this electoral vote winner Donny and North Korean leader Kim Jung Un are busy in the midst of a summit that's both historic and worrisome.  At stake is the fate of North Korea's nuclear weapons and Donny's insistence on complete denuclearization.  Also at stake is what Donny might give on the deal. 

I think many people would agree that something this historic actually happening is almost a miracle in and of itself.  Given Donny's cancelling so Un wouldn't a few weeks back, John Bolton's insistence on the Libya model, and Rudy Giuliani's mouthing that Un was on his hands and knees for this, one would be forgiven if they thought it would fall apart before it happened.  While sources close to Donny claim it's going ahead of schedule and he'll leave Singapore early, there are still questions that linger.

First, what will happen with this in the long run.  For Donny it's about getting the Nobel Peace Prize and looking good in the corporate owned mainstream media.  This is especially true after his behavior at the G7 Summit in Canada last weekend appeared to alienate allies while he insisted Russia be allowed back in the summit.  For Un it's harder to say since the mystery around him is something he plays to his advantage.  Yes, North Korea's population is impoverished and starving.  However, what guarantees do we have that whatever aid or business benefits going to NK will help the people?  Also, what's to keep the other side from breaking the treaty?  While most people are logical enough to realize nuclear weapons shouldn't be used the fact we're dealing with Donny and Kim Jong Un here means we have to wonder what lies ahead.,

Then there's the difficulty of negotiations even with allies.  While Donny has proven he wants to be friendly with tyrants and dictators to the extent of pissing off trusted allies, especially Canada, diplomacy takes time and work to make things come to fruition.  This can be hard even with skilled negotiators when dealking with a situation like this.  While such negotiators and deal makers know the value of compromise and knowing when to stand firm, Donny claims to go on instinct which means anything can happen. The fact he's leaving early also can be suspect.

This leaves us to wonder what will happen next?  While some sort of detente or understanding is needed between the two nations, one also has to keep their fingers crossed that things don't go completely downhill or that the world doesn't get blown to hell. 

Time will tell here.  Let's hope that what went down this week isn't completely catastrophic.

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