My apologies for being out of the loop for a while. I meant to come back
to the blog sooner but the obligations of Life got in the way. With
that in mind, let's talk about the 2024 presidential election.
As
I post this we have only 35 days to go until November 5, 2024 -
election day in the United States. This has been a journey full of
negative campaign ads, primary ups and downs that took candidates by
surprise, and even a change at the top of the ticket for one party. But
we are here now. On the presidential side it is down to either the Mad
Fuhrer of Mar-A-Lago (a/k/a.: former electoral vote winner Donny) for the
repubs and current vice president Kamala Harris for the Democrats. Will
probably be going into some of the details later on as we head closer to
election day but, for now, I thought it would be a good idea to point
out a few things as those readers in the U.S. navigate the final stretch
of the election season.
First, while a lot of people may want to
take the polls at face value it should be pointed out that former
electoral vote winner Donny can still win this damn thing. The polls in
the "swing States" where, thanks to the Electoral College, seem to be
the only ones that matter in the eyes of the mainstream media, show The
Mad Fuhrer and Kamala neck and neck - and those of Harris's lead being
within the margin of error. While we are at a point in the race where
election polls begin to matter, the most important one and the only one
that really matters is the election itself. Because of this the polls
should be taken with a grain of salt. A prime example why they should be
taken as such is that on Election Day 2016 Donny had a reported
approval rating of less than 20% yet still won the electoral vote (
Hillary Clinton still won the popular vote but, because the Electoral
College, the popular vote doesn't really matter). Does this mean that
Donny's guaranteed another victory? No of course not. I'm just saying we
should be more careful and not jump to conclusions this close to
election day.
It's at this point that we should probably look at
another media framing that popped up briefly in the last few months.
There were a couple media sources that compared vice president Harris to
the last woman who ran for president, former first lady Hillary Clinton
in 2016. Admittedly, the fact both are women is one thing that makes
for easy comments among writers of political news think pieces. However,
while there seem to be some similarities (such as an apparent lead in
the polls leading up to election day) Harris and Clinton differ in
enough ways to make this comparison not exactly and not entirely
accurate. Both in the circumstances of how they entered the race and how
they're approaching it so far. Again, this is a tight race and people
are looking for easy comparisons. This one though is flawed at best.
From
here let's take a look at the vice presidential candidates. Former
electoral vote winner Donny's choice of OH Senator J.D. Vance seemed to
be a pic that could be divisive as much as the media perception that it
would help Donny. This was at a time when Joe Biden was still running
for re-election and it was assumed that vice president Harris would
still be Vance's rival. However, biting stepping down from the
presidential race on July 21, 2024 changed things. His encouragement for
the Democrats to support moving vice president Harris into being his
successor created the change of enthusiasm and over time created the
sharp turnaround for the Democratic Party's fortunes. Her choice of MN
Gov. Tim Walz as a running mate took expectations sideways, especially
when he managed to point out the weirdness among much of the Repub Party
platform, and in Project 2025. This makes the vice presidential
candidate debate tonight one that will pique curiosity for a lot of
people. Though some people say the debate performance of these two
shouldn't mean that much the fact is it's a possibility that any
president could die before their term in office is up. With Donny's age
and perceived health issues now on sharper focus after Biden leaving the
race it shows there's definitely a chance that Vance could end up
president before Donny's term would be up due to issues related to age,
health, and a job that is extremely stress related. This adds gravity to
the vice presidential debate that might not normally exist in another
race or another time.
Then there's the Mad Fuhrer of Mar-A-Lago's
increasingly angry and violent rhetoric during his rallies. Referring
to immigrants and migrants as vermin he is stirring up more anger
amongst his base to to view those who choose to come to this country
(especially those of a different race) as less than human in the
process. Add to this is repeated threats to prosecute and lock up his
political opponents as well as him still claiming that the 2020 election
was stolen and it seems that all the attempts to make Donny look less unhinged or even rational in comparison (a new term, sanewashing, has emerged in political press circles to describe this) are
doing a disservice to the American people. Because of this, and the fact
that you would almost definitely enact much of project 2025 if he gets
in office again, he has proven that that under no circumstances should
he get this job a second time.
That choice, however, up to the
American people and the Electoral College. The fact that there are still
undecided voters at the stage of the game leads one to wonder what
exactly is going on but, to some degree, that's the case every election.
While I won't tell people who to vote for a clear look between what
Harris is proposing and the threats and authoritarian leanings being
offered by Donny should make this an obvious choice.
We have 36
or so days to go. We'll see what goes down in those days and how it
affects the election. Until then, pay attention to the issues attention
to issues and be on the lookout for misinformation - there's a shit ton
of it out there.
Tuesday, October 1, 2024
THIRTY THIRTY THIRTY FIVE MORE DAYS TO GO - UNTIL THE NEXT ELECTION.
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